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Marin Median Price Tanks in December

Initial stats are in for December home sales.  The median price in Marin plummeted in December of 2008 to $675,000.  This is for single family homes ONLY.  The number does not include condos.  WOW!!!  When you add in condos, the median drops to $590k.  The numbers may change slightly as last minute sales are reported.  70 properties were sold compared to 111 in December 2007 and 158 in December 2006.

Marin Median Home Price December 2008

Wow.

Mt. Tamalpais in the mist

Mt. Tamalpais, Marin County

I snapped this early this morning- a breathe taking sight to see the fog swirling around Mt. Tamalpais. 

Ginger Wilcox named in Top 12 Women Real Estate Bloggers

sellsius-top-12-women-real-estate-bloggers I have to toot my own horn just a little.  Last week, I was honored by Sellsius Real Estate Blog as one of the “Top Women Real Estate Bloggers” for 2008.  According to Sellsius, the honorees were selected for their “exemplary efforts in publishing local consumer-centric content across multiple channels, building their brand identity, awareness and trust and, most importantly, for their community involvement and service, both online and offline.”

The other honorees are all women I respect and admire.  I am extremely honored to have made the list!

Prepping your Marin home for Sale

iStock_000004274238Small The holidays are almost through and many Marin homeowners are thinking about putting on their homes in the New Year.  Here are a few tips to prep your home for sale.

  1. Create curb appeal.  First impressions can be everything.  If it doesn’t look good out front, potential buyers may never enter the front door.  Cut back overgrown landscaping, put fresh pots of flowers by the front door.  Replace your exterior light fixtures if they are rusted and dirty.
  2. Paint.  It is amazing how much a coat of paint can change the look and feel of a home.  Use neutral colors but don’t go all white inside.  Use paint to make your home feel warm.
  3. Clean, clean, and clean again.  Make your home sparkle. 
  4. Organize your closets, buyers will be looking in them.
  5. Remove excess furniture, clutter, and toys but don’t just move it to the garage, buyers look there too.
  6. Remove valuables, prescription medicine and personal items that should remain private. 
  7. Eliminate odors.  Bad pet smells can send a potential buyer running almost immediately.
  8. Have professional inspections before you put it on the market.  Buyers are picky in today’s market and inspections are one of the primary reasons buyers back out of transactions.  Know of any potential roadblocks before you put it on the market and eliminate those problems in advance.
  9. Consider professional staging.  Staging works!  Want more information about why you should stage?  Read this excellent article about why to stage.
  10. Don’t spend a lot of money renovating without first consulting a Marin real estate professional.  Renovating that kitchen before you put it on the market may not make sense.

Marin Real Estate – OFF the MLS

The real estate stats lie.  If you have spent any time on my site, you know I LOVE real estate stats.  I am stats junkie as a matter of fact.  They provide a ton of valuable information.   Unfortunately, what you can’t see from the currents stats are real listing inventory numbers.

In Marin County, a HUGE number of home are for sale, but are not on the MLS.  Tons of homes are coming on the market or are staying on the market, but you won’t find a good chunk of them on whatever search engine you might be using. 

Home sellers and agents are afraid of the all important DOM- Days on market.  Fearing a high number, they are withholding the listing from the MLS. This skews the stats for both real, accurate days on market numbers and also for market absorption rates. 

I believe keeping listings off the MLS is a bad for everyone, even sellers fearful of too many days on the market.

Marin home sellers- listen to me now, most buyers are smart enough to know that the days on market stats aren’t accurate.  The tradeoff of being off MLS is that you miss a huge portion of buyers.  Suddenly, you rely on agents, many of whom may not know that your home is for sale.  What if the home buyer happens to have an agent who isn’t connected?  This also assumes active buyers are working with an agent.  There are tons, and tons of home buyers doing their initial research on their own.  Those buyers are very real, and they aren’t being exposed to your property.  As much as high days on market may be undesirable, it is even more undesirable for you to limit your access to home buyers.  Staying “off the MLS” is really like being off the market.  It just doesn’t make sense if you want to sell your home.

Unfortunately, do-it-yourself home buyers are really only seeing a small portion of true home inventory.  If you are a buyer not working with agent, there are a lot more homes available for sale in Marin than show up on the MLS.  Contact a qualified (and connected) agent to give you the inside scoop.  As much as I dislike off the market listings, the reality is that there are a ton of them out there, and unless you are working with agent “in the know”, you may never see them.

A 4.5% conforming fixed rate? Don’t count your chickens…

These are certainly very dynamic and fast moving times in the mortgage market these days!  Just when you think things are settling down a bit, another curve ball comes our way.  The most recent one came to us courtesy of Secretary Treasurer Hank Paulson yet again.

As you know, the Treasury has already announced a plan to buy mortgage backed securities (MBS) issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.  Yesterday, they came out and said that they would ideally like to step up those purchases in order to drive mortgage rates down to 4.5% for conforming loans.  I would love to see that happen as much as the next person…but there is NO guarantee that rates will actually get there.  A couple of points to consider:

  • The Treasury DOES NOT set home mortgage rates…period!  Mortgage rates are based on where mortgage bonds trade in the open market.  There are many economic and other external factors that contribute to the trading of these bonds.  While their aggressive purchase of the securities could help drive rates down, it is not the only factor.
  • It is very difficult, if not nearly impossible, for any one entity to set a target interest rate on home mortgages because of the reasons stated above.
  • The MBS market is obviously skeptical of the ability for the Treasury to impact rates down to 4.5% as the market reaction to the announcement was quite muted…and, in fact, rates have ticked UP slightly today.

We certainly are not in a typical trading environment for mortgage backed securities as we are still experiencing significant volatility which is causing rates to move rapidly.  If you are buying a home or refinancing and have locked in a rate that you are happy with now, you should grab it while you can.  There is no guarantee that rates will go lower and in waiting for an incremental drop that may never come, rates could move up fast and furiously in this environment as well.

Most mortgages now come with no prepayment penalty so if down the road rates do come down further, you can always refinance again and can even do it with no closing costs…just ask your mortgage professional about that option.

Stacey Fleece is a Mortgage Loan Consultant with Countrywide Home Loans in Mill Valley in Marin County, California.

Fall in Larkspur

Baltimore Canyon, Larkspur


Baltimore Canyon, Larkspur

I snapped these pictures on a recent hike in Baltimore Canyon and had to share.  The sun was shining through the redwoods, but the ground was covered in what looked like a blanket of leaves.

Baltimore Canyon, Larkspur Baltimore Canyon, Larkspur

Being raised in Arizona and the land of the cactus, I am truly inspired by the beauty of Marin and resources almost literally in my backyard. 

Marin Luxury Home Sales Over $5M

There have been 21 Marin homes with a sales price over $5,000,000 sold year-to-date.  In the same time period in 2007, 29 Marin homes with a sales price over $5,000,000 were sold. 

Address Selling Price
1960 Straits View Drive, Tiburon $12,518,000
106 Mount Tiburon Rd, Tiburon $10,500,000
210 Beach Rd., Belvedere $9,750,000
3 Upper Ames Ave., Ross $9,000,000
324 Palm Ave., Kentfield $8,575,000
104 Laurel Grove Ave., Ross $8,500,000
2 Upper Rd W, Ross $8,000,000
1499 Lucas Valley Rd, San Rafael $7,250,000
37 W. Shore Rd, Belvedere $7,000,000
148 Seadrift Rd., Stinson Beach $6,595,000
49 Glenwood Ave., Ross $6,500,000
135 Belvedere Ave., Belvedere $6,485,000
21 Sky Rd., Mill Valley $6,350,000
276 Seadrift Rd., Stinson Beach $6,300,000
100 Spencer Ave., Sausalito $6,250,000
19 Place Moulin, Tiburon $6,100,000
3636 Paradrise Dr., Tiburon $5,975,000
700 Goodhill Rd., Kentfield $5,900,000
109 Fawn Dr., San Anselmo $5,850,000
59 Bridge Rd., Ross $5,500,000
321 Summit Ave., Mill Valley $5,300,000

*Statistics pulled from BAREIS MLS

Marin Medium Home Prices Drop

Initial November Marin home sales numbers are in.  As expected, median home prices in Marin County have dropped.  As of now, the median price for single family homes in Marin dropped to $805,375.  (The numbers may change slightly as last minute sales are reported.)  In November of last year, the Marin median home price was $1,000,000.  The number of units sold was down over 41%, a dramatic drop off in sale activity.

Clearly the election and the volatility in the financial markets has had a significant impact on the Marin real estate market.  Buyers who have jobs or cash are sitting pretty right now.  Great interest rates, motivated sellers, and low home prices make it a great time to purchase for those who are able.

MarinMedian_113001

Data is pulled from BAREIS Multiple Listing Service.

Top 10 Reasons to Buy a Home in Marin- NOW

  1. AWESOME Interest Rates
  2. Less Competition– you have a better chance of getting the home you want without feeling the pressure to bid against several other buyers (in most cases).
  3. Reduced Home Prices– values have come down approximate 10-40% (depending on location) over the last 2-3 years. 2008 will see the first year over year price decline in Marin County since 1992. This is a rare opportunity to purchase a great asset at a discount.
  4. Motivated sellers-for the first time in over a decade the buyer has the upper hand over the seller in (most) negotiations.
  5. Top Notch Schools– The public and private schools in Marin are outstanding with test scores off the charts.
  6. Fabulous Lifestyle -Marin is a wonderful place to live. The natural beauty is awe inspiring and we enjoy vast areas of protected open space for hiking, biking and gazing at, which is all free and part of the privilege of living in Marin.
  7. Location, Location, Location– proximity to San Francisco, the wine country, the California coast and the Sierras.
  8. Weather-  On Monday, the high in Chicago is expected to be 33 degrees and snowing.  In Marin, 65 and sunny.
  9. Rent vs Own Gap Decreasing- The gap between what you pay for rent vs. what you pay to own is closer than it has been in years especially when taking tax breaks into consideration. The combination of increasing rents and declining property values has tilted the opportunity towards owning.
  10. Timing is everything– Looking back throughout history the best time to buy any valuable asset is when the headlines are the bleakest. Buy when others aren’t.